Joe took the first-place last week after I stumbled on a few NFL picks. No excuse from my side.
The good thing is I’ve bounced back every week, and that’s precisely what I intend to do in the NFL Week 10.
If you missed our NFL Week 10 preview, give it a look to see the line movements and recent injuries.
Now, let’s get some winners.
Seattle Seahawks +2 at Los Angeles Rams
I went with Seattle last week against Buffalo, but the Seahawks defense crumbled under the offensive pressure on the Bills.
This NFC West matchup sees the Rams come off a bye in Week 9. The last time we saw them, they lost on the road to Miami Dolphins.
I like this as a bounce-back spot for an excellent Seattle team. There’s no denying their defense is awful, but I still feel like if we look at Goff vs. Wilson – the Seahawks have an edge here.
It’s not as simple as that, but we’re still getting the best team in the division as a dog. I don’t need more than that to place a wager on Seattle.
I think the +2 is fine but you could also go with the +108 moneyline on the Seahawks.
Houston Texans +3 at Cleveland Browns
This one isn’t the most attractive game on the board, but I think there is some betting value to be had here.
Houston visits Cleveland after coming off a 27-25 win last week. Cleveland is coming off a bye in Week 9. Their last game was an awful 16-6 loss in Week 8 against the visiting Raiders.
Houston is not a good football team but they have been much more competitive since they fired Bill O’Brien.
Cleveland’s performance two weeks ago was awful. The weather played a part, but I think this offense may have a much harder time scoring without Odell Beckham.
I like the Texans getting a field goal here on the road.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -5 at Carolina Panthers
These two NFC South foes faced off in Tampa in Week 2, a game that was easily won by the Bucs by a score of 31-17.
Tampa is coming off an awful Monday Night loss against the Saints while Carolina was defeated in a high scoring game in Kansas City in Week 9.
I love this spot for Tampa Bay. They already beat Carolina earlier this year and they’re in a prime bounce-back spot.
New Orleans was able to pressure Brady up the middle and disrupt Tampa’s offense, but I don’t expect the same from the Panthers.
Their defense is awful. Sure, their offense will put up some points but Tampa’s defense is still a strong unit despite what we saw last week against New Orleans.
Lay the points with the road favorite in this one.
Carolina Panthers +5.5 vs. Buccaneers
I expect the Buccaneers to bounce back from an awful display on Sunday night and beat the Panthers. But laying down 5.5 for a team trying to find their identity is just too much.
Tampa Bay is struggling to protect Tom Brady, and they are not a balanced team either. They have problems establishing the run, especially when things are not going their way. Last week they had only five rushing attempts against the Saints.
Carolina also gave Kansas City a run for their money. They were outmuscled in the end because the Chiefs have way too much talent, but the Panthers were in the game all afternoon.
This is a divisional matchup between two teams that can keep the pace of the other. You are better off taking the points.
Arizona Cardinals -2.5 vs. Bills
I know many people are jumping back on the Bills bandwagon, but don’t save a seat for me. Whatever the Bills showed last week against the Seahawks is not their reality, but Seattle’s reality of a lousy defense.
QB Josh Allen completed only 11 passes and threw one interception without touchdowns against the Patriots two weeks ago. Then he completed 81% of his passes against Seattle, with three touchdowns scores.
Arizona’s’ defense is way better than Seattle’s. The Seahawks total defense is the worst in the NFL since 1978. So, they are not a measuring stick.
Also, Kyler Murray is balling. He had four touchdowns last week against Miami. The Dolphins have a better defense than Buffalo. Swallow the points.
Baltimore Ravens -7 at New England
This has to be the first time in the John Harbaugh era that his Ravens are favorites visiting New England.
Both Ravens’ losses this season have been against contenders in the AFC. With a lack of talent on every line, teams like the Patriots are not a problem for them.
Even if New England has a good game plan, they don’t have the players to compete sixty minutes against Baltimore. They are also coming off a short week after struggling to beat the NY Jets.
I’m sure John Harbaugh will want to beat the Patriots by a thousand points if he can. So, don’t expect the Ravens to take the foot off the gas at any point in the game.
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