Pick of the Day – 6/20/20 (Saturday)

Overall Record W/P/L: 73-5-61 | total +13.6u | Avg Odds 1.79
Form: 3/1/6 LLLWWLPWLL -6.28u | Football record 46-3-32, +7.1u

Last POTD: Sevilla vs Barcelona ML @ 1.95LOSS
Recap: Sevilla defended the box with 10 players in 5-4—-1 all game and wasted two huge counters plus a random yet 100% chance in final minutes to win the game even. Barcelona couldn’t connect a final pass of 65% possession in 95minutes, so for the 3rd time in 26 years this H2H ended 0:0 [this is actually true but I added it only to occupy the nitpickers]. No room for conspiracies concerning the result, but letting Suarez crouch all over the pitch for 95minutes of untrained sorrow is quite questionable – despite his one good chance in final minutes. Still think the risk was correct but it didn’t pay off this time.


German Bundesliga
3:30pm CET, in ~15 hours

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund DNB @ 2.20 (2u)

? Reasoning:

Leipzig (3rd) need 3 points in two remaining games to secure a champions league spot. Although Dortmund (2nd) already has CL secured (and championship is already won by Bayern), they won’t visit Leipzig for sparring only – it’s not like they don’t care whether to finish the season 2nd or 4th place at all.

Leipzigs goalgetter Timo Werner disclosed his transfer to Chelsea this week and also stated that he does not want to play for Leipzig in Championsleague [rescheduled to August 2020] anymore. This upset certainly won’t help too much but I don’t expect catastrophic disturbances either.

On to the numbers part and, oh boy, did I study this thoroughly!
The last 4 H2H (thats two years) are 2W/2D in favor of Dortmund, their last h2h in Leipzig was a 1-0 Dortmund win.

Both teams are on/off with their magic currently, but I reckon it to be a good bet incl. DNB safety at worthwile odds (DNB means draw no bet and wager is refunded in case the result is a draw).

I’m just trying to make my way through in all conscience. If you like my efforts, a tip is appreciated very much. paypal.me/uenaldo

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