UFC 257 Betting Prediction: Julianna Pena vs. Sara McMann

In the next UFC event, there is an excellent women’s bantamweight showdown heading your way. In the preliminary card for UFC 257, this exciting matchup will be between Julianna Pena and Sara McMann.

Date: Jan 23, 7:00 PM

Venue:Etihad Arena

Watch on:ESPN

The Fighters

Julianna Pena (10-4-0)

Pena will look to turn things around with a victory and to try and gain some momentum on her seventh ranking in the division. Her most recent bout was a submission loss to Germaine De Randamie back in October of 2020.

Her fighting resume shows that she has three wins by knockout, three by submission, and four by decision. She also has four first round finishes with a combination of knockouts and submissions.

“The Venezuelan Vixen” has a striking accuracy at 47 percent and a grappling accuracy at 51 percent. She lands 2.80 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 1.73. This is a nice ratio, showing a clean separation for both sides.

Pena has a takedown defense at 28 percent and a significant strike defense at 51 percent. She also averages 2.73 takedowns and 0.80 submissions every 15 minutes.

Sara McMann (12-5-0)

Ninth ranked McMann will be attempting to improve her ranking as well in this tough matchup. Her last victory was a unanimous decision against Lina Lansberg back almost exactly a year ago.

Her fighting resume shows that she has one win by knockout, five by submission, and six by decision. She also has four first round finishes with three being submissions and one with a knockout.

She has a striking accuracy at 46 percent and a grappling accuracy at 63 percent. She lands 2.39 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 1.86. This is a solid ratio and has room to be more aggressive in each fight.

McMann has a takedown defense at 66 percent and a significant strike defense at 47 percent. She also averages 4.51 takedowns and 0.60 submissions every 15 minutes.

Odds For This Event

The market has this one coming in closer than people think. For the moneyline, BetDSI has the odds currently placed at:

McMann: -139

Pena: +112

*odds are subject to changes

Free Betting Pick

The market, regardless of the fighters rankings, believes that the lower ranked McMann is going to take this one. However, the odds are not as convincing as they would make it to be just at first glance.

Pena has had very solid success in her time with the UFC, going 5-2 since joining and having a handful of respective victories. In both of her losses though, her demise has been submissions.

Looking at what McMann brings to the octagon, she is an aggressive takedown machine that loves to win by submission. Now the market’s reaction makes a little more sense.

Overall, this will be a great test to whoever wins this matchup. Look for McMann to seal it with a submission.

Spooky Express Free Pick: McMann wins by submission, at -139

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