What The Stats Say: Opta reveals Kane is able to score at Anfield

Wolves looking toothless without star striker

Wolves 5.59/2 v Chelsea 1.768/11; The Draw 4.03/1
Tuesday 15 December, 18:00
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“Since their return to the Premier League in 2018, Wolves have lost 80% of their Premier League games where Raúl Jiménez hasn’t started (4/5), scoring 0.4 goals-per-game compared to 1.3 with the Mexican in the starting line-up.”

Wolves just don’t look like scoring at the moment and Chelsea are 2.89/5 to win to nil.

City relish meetings with promoted sides

Manchester City 1.121/8 v West Brom 30.029/1; The Draw 13.012/1
Tuesday 15 December, 20:00
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“Since losing 1-2 against Spurs in November 2008, Man City are unbeaten in 31 home league games against sides in the relegation zone (W28 D3), scoring 100 goals and conceding just 18 in this run. Indeed, the Citizens have won their last 15 such games by an aggregate score of 59-6.”

This should be a comprehensive win for Manchester City and you can back the home victory and over 3.5 goals at 1.8810/11.

Saints should be favourites

Arsenal 2.3211/8 v Southampton 3.412/5; The Draw 3.613/5
Wednesday 16 December, 18:00
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“Southampton have won 23 points in their opening 12 Premier League games this season (W7 D2 L3) – assuming three points for a win in all seasons, only in 2014/15 (26) have they had more points after 12 matches in a top-flight season.”

With Arsenal in terrible form, these odds look completely wrong. Southampton are 1.748/11 to avoid defeat in the Double Chance market.

Goals will flow

Leeds 1.845/6 v Newcastle 4.67/2; The Draw 4.1
Wednesday 16 December, 18:00
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“Leeds have lost their last two Premier League games despite opening the scoring each time. Only four teams have ever lost three in a row despite scoring first in the competition – Blackburn in April 2007, Sunderland in February 2011, Wolves in April 2012 and Leicester in December 2014.”

With Leeds conceding regularly, both teams to score looks big at 1.774/5.

Top scorer underrated still

Leicester 2.245/4 v Everton 3.55/2; The Draw 3.711/4
Wednesday 16 December, 18:00
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“Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored 19 goals in 32 Premier League games under Carlo Ancelotti, compared with 16 goals in 94 appearances under his previous Everton managers combined.”

The Premier League’s top scorer is available at a generous price of 2.68/5 to add to his tally.

Struggling sides meet with unwanted penalty stat

Fulham 3.02/1 v Brighton 2.6213/8; The Draw 3.412/5
Wednesday 16 December, 20:00
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“Only their opponents Brighton and Hove Albion (5) have conceded more penalty goals than Fulham (4) in the Premier League this season, with their last two goals conceded coming from penalties. The Cottagers have never conceded a penalty goal in three consecutive Premier League games.”

With these teams giving away lots of penalties and generally conceding, both teams to score seems certain to land at 1.865/6.

Kane has strong record at Anfield

Liverpool 1.865/6 v Tottenham 4.77/2; The Draw 3.9
Wednesday 16 December, 20:00
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“Spurs striker Harry Kane has been directly involved in five goals in six away Premier League games against Liverpool (4 goals, 1 assist).”

It’s rare that you see Kane available at odds as big as 2.89/5 to find the net and with his scoring record at Anfield, it could be worth a shot.

Hammers can nail London derby

West Ham 2.166/5 v Crystal Palace 3.9; The Draw 3.55/2
Wednesday 16 December, 20:00
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“West Ham have won four of their last five Premier League games (L1), as many as they had in their previous 13 in the competition (W4 D5 L4).”

The Hammers are looking like a very well organised team under David Moyes and should just edge this at 2.166/5.

Burnley can hold strong again

Aston Villa 1.794/5 v Burnley 4.94/1; The Draw 4.03/1
Thursday 17 December, 18:00
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“Just 33% of Aston Villa’s Premier League points this season have been won in home games (6/18), with the Villains losing each of their last three at Villa Park.”

Coming off their 1-0 away win at Arsenal on Sunday, Burnley could prove difficult for Villa to break down and under 2.5 goals could land at 2.26/5.

Fernandes will find the net

Sheffield United 7.87/1 v Manchester United 1.491/2; The Draw 4.94/1
Thursday 17 December, 20:00
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“Man Utd’s Bruno Fernandes has featured in four Premier League games against teams starting the day in the relegation zone, scoring four and assisting four and averaging a goal or assist every 43 minutes.”

Fernandes is generally a reliable goalscorer away from home and can be backed at 2.3811/8 to find the net against the Blades.

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